In a 2013 study ordered by one of the monetary backers of Common Core, the Carnegie Corporation, a bombshell bit of results was buried: Common Core implementation would double the nation’s drop-out rate.
Take the following and the report with a grain of salt, the ones doing this survey are on Team Pro-Common Core. The report also has the flavor of supporting a sweeping re-brand or “re-design” attempt, which arguably will fail just as badly as the initial implementation.
Carnegie’s Leah Hamilton and Anne Mackinnon, in Opportunity by Design, and the McKinsey Group estimate that the implementation of Common Core (without first establishing a level of systematic supports that would clearly be impossible) would double the nation’s dropout rate.
Even if Common Core was implemented only by top-quartile teachers – who “’move’ student performance at the rate of 1.25 grade levels per year” – the best teachers “cannot possibly meet the demand to raise student achievement to Common Core levels.”
School reformers have long misused multi-colored graphs by the McKinsey Group to argue that improved teacher quality could drive school improvement. So, it is doubly important that Carnegie commissioned McKinsey to use the reformers’ data “to test whether or not it might be possible to avoid large drops in graduation rates using human capital strategies alone.”
A year ago, Carnegie and McKinsey concluded, “The short answer is no: even coordinated, rapid, and highly effective efforts to improve high school teaching would leave millions of students achieving below the level needed for graduation and college success as defined by the Common Core.”
They determined that the six-year dropout rate would double from 15% to 30%. If, as Carnegie projects, the four-year graduation rate drops from 75% to 53%, that would be a blow that Common Core probably couldn’t survive.
And, what about high-poverty urban school systems, where the graduation rates have slowly risen to 65% or so? Surely, their graduation rates would drop even further. Even if they declined by the national average of 30%, the outcry should be deafening.
Makes Common Core sound really tough and high reaching right? It’s not. It’s poorly written by people with little to no classroom experience, it takes in account no consideration for the end-user (student) and the tests are flat-out horrible.
Funnily enough, this shocking revelation is published on the Scholastic Administrator blog. Scholastic has promoted Common Core and has been well compensated for it by the Gates Foundation. Scholastic is also famous for the Gates funded teacher survey touted by Fordham’s Michael Brickman.